I concede I may have been watching too many back to back episodes of House of Cards (American version) but I was intrigued by Donald Trump's pledge to not run as an independent if he fails to win the Republican Party's nomination for President.
Trump has courted the Democrats in the past, and his loyalty to the GOP has been questioned - not least by his repeated failure up until today to rule out running Ross Perot style.
It is widely believed in Republican circles that Perot's candidacy led to George Bush Snr's defeat at the hands of Bill Clinton in 1992.
So what has changed the Donald's mind? Could it just be that he is enjoying politics so much that he is going to carry on even if he does not secure the Republican nomination?
It looks certain he will poll well, and he commands support from sections of the American electorate that the GOP have not connected with since Reagan.
I therefore predict Jeb Bush will secure the Republican nomination next year, and that he will invite Donald Trump to be his running mate.
The Donald for VEEP - the tip you read here first.
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